Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 1301.509925 1482.269431 1683.981608 1926.655126 2211.859001 2537.823768 2940.594038
2025-08-24 1034.643493 1272.917285 1564.523960 1951.429196 2456.949677 3102.884925 4003.480475
2025-08-31 888.041338 1147.813977 1485.303772 1963.163503 2634.273024 3561.543082 4972.602688
2025-09-07 794.151682 1068.000237 1441.450350 1999.421945 2832.218438 4063.056771 6086.591416
2025-09-14 694.485971 963.375685 1344.331528 1938.500263 2870.268137 4326.263851 6881.609287
2025-09-21 616.262914 877.856568 1260.864784 1881.039958 2897.040806 4566.071642 7675.823989
2025-09-28 549.904834 801.470038 1180.451906 1814.602432 2894.584749 4750.369884 8402.690461
2025-10-05 523.944723 782.718121 1184.801412 1882.265569 3122.263423 5363.553349 10059.800905
2025-10-12 493.715413 753.694944 1168.813600 1912.348936 3286.491497 5887.762255 11665.650115
2025-10-19 465.227226 724.361117 1148.593555 1931.325535 3431.293285 6397.863975 13368.182357
2025-10-26 439.534597 697.010498 1128.460418 1947.030255 3570.638873 6919.933748 15234.470274
2025-11-02 423.376984 684.044223 1131.383267 2004.910277 3800.913388 7674.480102 17876.030817
2025-11-09 404.463311 665.422598 1123.782513 2044.521937 4006.309999 8431.033106 20810.676302
2025-11-16 384.576463 643.457568 1108.146507 2066.841573 4180.047504 9156.430390 23931.335505
2025-11-23 365.454619 621.088231 1089.311420 2079.775565 4334.331467 9867.697600 27275.721805
2025-11-30 351.202175 606.355808 1083.371592 2118.569569 4554.389844 10796.330660 31679.931738
2025-12-07 326.421065 569.957238 1031.988610 2053.341052 4515.261835 11027.561014 33840.995530
2025-12-14 304.323779 537.043721 984.721309 1991.839355 4476.095811 11251.833600 36079.796057
2025-12-21 283.158529 504.468927 935.537127 1920.758763 4402.482572 11363.962801 37959.750677
2025-12-28 277.850419 502.386751 948.322296 1993.150937 4713.725418 12695.219986 45326.427467
2026-01-04 269.016795 492.627220 944.221533 2025.347408 4923.292771 13769.645446 52218.977024
2026-01-11 259.710639 481.225830 935.623620 2045.660238 5103.833423 14800.598861 59532.004610
2026-01-18 250.724029 469.832958 926.061307 2062.472706 5277.792559 15859.894812 67666.361581